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asdf098
٢٢ كانون الأول ديسمبر ٢٠٢١ ٢١:٠٣
$ADSK long-term (multi-year) top? (3/5)
بيع
NASDAQ:ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
NASDAQ
الوصف
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٢٢ كانون الأول ديسمبر ٢٠٢١ ٢١:٠٣
Conviction: 3/5
could go up some more in near term, but looks quite risky long-term (5+ years)
General Thesis
weekly RSI showing bearish divergence
recently had multiple touches on long-term channel resistance (1991)
Growth
Gross margins (90%) at historical highs
Revenue growth (18%) also high relative to own history, maybe 80th percnetile
Value
P/FCF about average in the last 12 months
P/S at historical highs (about 80th percentile)
Fundamentals & Balance Sheet
low debt to asset (<1)
quick ratio mild (.8)
Potential Risks
could continue to hug upper resistance
short term bounce is possible, last time price touched trend line it took 4 years to touch bottom trend line
Historically no bullish divergence before bounce
Oscillators
Support and Resistance
december2021
SELL
المزيد