BTC not quite ready for a pullback yet

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if it follows the 2015 pattern and actually a normal scenario, it will hit the 100 wk moving average and then pull back probably all the way back to the 50 wk since i dont think it will go back below it. however anything is possible of course and as unlikely as it is to break back below the 50 wk, if it does i think it will go down and back up very fast, it wont stay below it.