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Check if there is movement out of the box section

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BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P   Bitcoin / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT
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The reason why I explain the USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D chart first is that it is judged that the price change of coins (tokens) can be predicted to some extent if the overall money flow of the coin market is known.

(USDT 1D chart)
I need to see if I can keep it at 66.442B or higher.

(USDC 1D chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 44.07B.


(BTC.D 1D chart)
During the volatility period of 22nd-24th January, it will be a question of whether it can find resistance and decline in the 43.75-45.68 area.

Otherwise, if it rises above 45.68, there is a possibility that a strange market will be formed where only BTC rises, or the coin market will show a major decline.

The rise in BTC dominance means that money is concentrating towards BTC.

Therefore, it is likely that BTC will dominate the coin market.

With BTC dominance, you can only tell whether funds are concentrated towards BTC or altcoins, but cannot predict the movement of BTC price.

The next volatility period is around March 30th.


(USDT.D 1D chart)
During the volatility period of January 23rd-25th, we need to make sure it stays below 6.90.

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(BTCUSDTPERP 1D Chart)
It is showing a decline without renewing the high.

You need to make sure you can climb with support around 22471.5.


It is necessary to make sure that it can be supported in the 20984.7-21826.1 section, which is important for the medium and long term.

If not, and it falls below 20643.2,
1st : 19411.7-20122.5
2nd: Around 17935.7
You need to check if it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd order.


I am just walking sideways in the sideways section, but the movement of altcoins is unusual.

We believe this move is because BTC dominance is getting closer to 45.

In a situation where funds are not properly flowing into the coin market, the rise in BTC dominance has become a factor that can lead to the vitality of the coin market.

However, if it rises above 45, there is a possibility that BTC alone will rise as funds from altcoins shrink and concentrate towards BTC if funds do not continuously flow into the coin market.

It's fortunate if BTC alone rises, but if it falls together, the price of altcoins will show a huge drop.


As USDT is currently holding above 66.442B, the price defense of the coin market is likely to be achieved.

However, if USDC continues to gap down, there is a possibility that the price defense of the coin market will be broken, so you should keep an eye on it.

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(1h chart)
If the price is above the M-Signal on the 1D chart, the main position is 'LONG'.

Therefore, a quick response is required when entering the 'SHORT' position.


The 'LONG' position to be entered near 'L1', 20794.4-20984.7 is in a state of first and second selling.

At the end of the transaction
1. When touching the vicinity of 23937.1-24294.1
2. When falling below 5EMA on the 1D chart
3. When the average entry price is touched

In fact, the second sale has been completed, so you can close the transaction anywhere you want.


It shows a sideways movement in the 22471.5-22975.1 section.

When a sideways range is formed in this way, it can be said that a range that can be traded with high leverage has been formed.

Therefore, those who trade with low leverage need to trade when they break out of this sideways range to profit from the big trend.


Those who trade with high leverage
- Enter the 'SHORT' position near 'L2' and close the trade near 'S2'.
- Enter the 'LONG' position near 'S2' and close the trade near 'L2'.

However, if it moves out of the sideways range, it is recommended to close the trade as soon as possible.


5EMA on the 1D chart touched as it entered the sideways section.

Thus, the possibility of volatility has increased.


If you trade with low leverage,
- When receiving resistance near 'S2', it is possible to enter the 'SHORT' position.
1st: Around 21826.1
2nd: Around 20984.7
End of trading: around 20122.5

However, since it can touch the uptrend line (1) and rise, it is recommended to proceed with the first sale or split the sale when you see support around 21978.5 to preserve profits.

- When supported near 'L2', it is possible to enter the 'LONG' position.
Close transaction: 23937.1-24294.1


With the high likely to be the 23937.1-24294.1 range, it is quite risky to open a new position in the 22471.5-22975.1 range.

Therefore, it is recommended to avoid trading whenever possible.

However, trading is always possible if you want to profit from a big trend, even with a small loss.

In this case, you have to trade mechanically, no matter what your losses.

Otherwise, if you keep changing your trades to cut losses in these small sideways zones, you may be left behind when the big trend starts.

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- big picture
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.

This is the 81K-95K range that we expect to touch in the next bull market.

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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.

** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.

** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.

** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at (www.tradingview.com/...shi-MS-Signal-HA-MS/).

** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).

(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)

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تعليق:
(BTCUSDT chart)
On the 1D chart, HA-High is looking to rise again.

Therefore, it is important where the candle closes today.

If HA-High forms at 22405.43, it is likely that the trend will be determined by whether it is supported or resisted at this point.
تعليق:
If you are using the staking service of each exchange, it is better to wait without re-registering once the staking period ends this time.

If you registered for the staking service today, it will be unlocked in April at the longest.

Then, at that time, it is a good idea to choose whether to re-register or sell and change to another coin (token) according to the movement of the coin market.

This is because it will be the last opportunity to replace the coin from a mid- to long-term investment point of view when it declines after this rise.
تعليق:
(UTC)
After that period, you should see if there is any movement out of the uptrend channel.

If it fails to rise above 22975.1 and falls, it is likely to fall below 22471.5 after the last period.

[Example of exchange chart setup]

(Binance)
www.tradingview.com/x/S94aDxa8

(Upbit)
www.tradingview.com/x/DF6cGh3G/
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