Tesla, Inc.
بيع

Tesla downside momentum could extend before any rebound

68
Current Price: $402.77

Direction: SHORT

Confidence Level: 62%

Targets:
- T1 = $380.00
- T2 = $368.00

Stop Levels:
- S1 = $410.00
- S2 = $420.00


**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
The collective insights from multiple professional traders show a consistent short‑term bias to the downside for Tesla, even among those who are bullish longer term. Several traders focused on the $380 area as the first key level to watch, with many citing $368 as the major gap‑fill target for this week. While a few see buying opportunities lower, the weight of commentary points to more near‑term weakness before a sustainable rally sets in.

**Key Insights:**
Here’s what’s driving my view: across the trader community, Tesla is in a clear short‑term downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple traders marked $398–$400 as an overhead resistance zone with “a lot of supply,” making it hard for price to push higher before testing lower supports. There’s also consensus that any bounce here would likely be a “pump and dump” into resistance before the next leg lower.

Another important observation is that many traders see $380 as the immediate downside target, with $368 as a more aggressive move that fills the open daily gap. Quite a few expect that if the market shows further weakness, these levels could be reached within this week. The short‑term technical picture – failing rallies, resistance holding, and repeated tests of support – keeps me leaning to a short bias.

**Recent Performance:**
Tesla has retreated from highs in the $460s into the low $400s over recent weeks. Last week’s action saw it struggle to hold intraday bounces, closing lower and respecting resistance in the high $390s to $400 range. The stock’s recent inability to follow through on rallies, despite broader market upticks, underlines the pressure sellers are applying.

**Expert Analysis:**
Several traders pointed to the break of a short‑term uptrend late last week, followed by confirmation of fresh downside momentum. $380 was highlighted repeatedly as a heavy buy interest zone – but crucially, that’s also where they expect price to gravitate to in the short term. The $368 gap is seen as a likely magnet if $380 fails to hold. Other market experts tied this weakness to double top patterns and broader tech weakness, adding fundamental headwinds like Bitcoin impairment impacts on Tesla’s net income.

**News Impact:**
While there were mentions of long‑term catalysts like robo‑taxis and updated FSD ratings, these are not expected to influence this week’s price action. Recent headlines about large stake sales by high‑profile investors and Tesla’s exposure to Bitcoin impairments have added a cautious tone. This news flow supports the case for near‑term softness as traders weigh potential earnings impacts.

**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take: With heavy supply above $398–$400 and traders eyeing $380 and $368 as near‑term targets, I see a SHORT setup as the higher‑probability play for this week. A break under $382 could accelerate momentum toward $380 quickly, with $368 in play if selling persists. I’d keep stops above $410 to protect against a squeeze, with $420 as a hard‑fail level for the short thesis. Position sizing should be moderate given the potential for sharp bounces in a volatile name like Tesla.

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