The AUD/USD currency pair has recently exhibited a classic Head and Shoulder pattern, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below the neckline, which previously served as a strong support and trendline. Currently, the price is testing a key support level, suggesting a possible retracement from this area.
Chart Pattern Analysis: The Head and Shoulder pattern typically signals a trend reversal, and the recent break below the neckline confirms this bearish sentiment. The neckline break indicates strong selling pressure, and the price action is now testing a critical support level.
Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: The potential retracement aligns with the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, providing a confluence of resistance around this area. This enhances the likelihood of a bearish trend continuation, also aligned with the trendline that has turned into a resistance zone.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Near 0.67100 (re-test of the trendline and resistance area)
Stop Loss: Near 0.67450 (above the resistance zone to manage risk)
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 0.66750
TP-2: 0.66400
TP-3: 0.66050
Conclusion: Given the technical analysis, the AUD/USD pair presents a potential short-selling opportunity upon a retracement to the resistance zone. The alignment of the trendline, resistance, and Fibonacci levels provides a high-probability trade setup. Traders should consider entering near 0.67100 with a stop loss at 0.67450 and targeting the take-profit levels as specified.
Note: As always, traders should conduct their own analysis and consider market conditions and risk management strategies before entering any trades.
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