thought i'd get this to you all before the real fun begins.
i do believe we're nearing the end of this wave (a), and we will soon begin wave (b) - nicknamed the suckers rally. newer investors who attempt to play with leveraged longs will probably not sell in time and create a nice liquidation event on the way down. most people develop some sort of emotional attachment to their trades and get stuck to a single outcome. the markets moves both ways, and we can make money in either direction with the proper setups. i've been catching high leverage short swings these last couple of weeks, and have accumulated quite a bit of fun money that i am willing to risk on this wave b.
i think wave b is going to be a parabolic move and will catch so many people off guard once it reverses \ has a parabolic move down. markets will go from mass euphoria to mass despair in a matter of days, and that is when we become buyers for the real run to 125k. i have outlined my overall bias on the history of bitcoin in this post:
i am not sure what will happen once we tag that final fifth, but i sure as heck am selling all of my longs from the low 20's once we get to the psychological level of 100k. i know that i am looking pretty far ahead into the future, but historically bitcoin has been the most algorithmic asset in all of the lands, and tends to tag every single algo target near perfectly.
i don't know anything about fundamentals, all i know is the charts - so thought i'd put it out there. a lot of people are expecting btc to go straight up to a million, so i am here to say that it's not going to go straight up as most expect, since the markets move in phases.
stay educated, stay well, and trade safe you beautiful people.
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