Bitcoin showing strength although some big bear flags showing up with the ascending wedge, bearish weekly pivot and CME gap that have a high chance always of getting filled usually in the short term too. Additionally we are coming up to the Macro trendline resistance on the weekly which is going to be a huge marker if we breakout as it has been in place since November 2021. It is a likely a very large amount of volume is going to require to break out. This is possible depending on the CPI data that drops which is potential assumed to be bullish. This could help break out - although there is a lot of bearish factors weighing against it for at least a small retrace.
Losing 22.2k would likely see a continuation down to the CME gap and weekly pivot regions with a top of 21.5k and a painful scenario at 20.2k. A bullish scenario would need to breakout above 23K for a good confirmation then it can pump as high as 25k.
HOWEVER with all the news that is coming out this month with the merge, MT.Gox and multiple items in the economic calendar volatility is going to be high
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
BULLISH FACTORS: + Bullish Descending wedge on the Weekly + Oversold on the Weekly + Reversal signal on the Weekly + Hidden Divergence on the 1hr + Potential breakout incoming of the macro descending wedge
BEARISH FACTORS: - Bearish untested Weekly Pivot and CME Gap as low as 20.2k up to 21.5k - Challenging Macro Trendline Resistance on the Weekly - Hitting key 22.6k resistance - Crossing down on HullMA - Rising wedge
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