Bitcoin Recent Relief Rally Similar to April 2018?
In April 2018, Bitcoin experienced a relief rally and gained nearly 55%:
- Lost ~70%
- Rallied ~55% by end of April
- Retraced >68% through November 2018
Recently,
BTC experienced a relief rally gaining 46% since late January, retracing then regaining ~40%... assuming a near 70% retracement puts PT approx 
14K and aligns with numerous bearish price scenarios.
Macroenvironment has major headwind with inflation and widespread labor shortages.
Q4 2021 corporate profits show dramatic slowing relative to Q3. While profits were positive, it is not a 🥳.
- Q4 receipts +12.6B, Payments -4.1B
- Q4 GDI +5.1%, down 1.3% to Q3 numbers
- Q4 current production 20.4B, Q3 96.9B... down 76.5B
- Q4 domestic financial corporation profits -1.3B, Q3 +14.2B.
- Nonfinancial domestic corporations +55B Q4 but down 26.6B to Q3's 31.6B
- Rest-of-world Q4 profit +16.8B to Q3 51.1B... lower by 34.4B
- Lost ~70%
- Rallied ~55% by end of April
- Retraced >68% through November 2018
Recently,
BTC experienced a relief rally gaining 46% since late January, retracing then regaining ~40%... assuming a near 70% retracement puts PT approx 14K and aligns with numerous bearish price scenarios.Macroenvironment has major headwind with inflation and widespread labor shortages.
Q4 2021 corporate profits show dramatic slowing relative to Q3. While profits were positive, it is not a 🥳.
- Q4 receipts +12.6B, Payments -4.1B
- Q4 GDI +5.1%, down 1.3% to Q3 numbers
- Q4 current production 20.4B, Q3 96.9B... down 76.5B
- Q4 domestic financial corporation profits -1.3B, Q3 +14.2B.
- Nonfinancial domestic corporations +55B Q4 but down 26.6B to Q3's 31.6B
- Rest-of-world Q4 profit +16.8B to Q3 51.1B... lower by 34.4B
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