Start of the bullrun or another lower high??

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BTC is at a critical position sitting right under the resistance trend line since its June 13.8k top, with the halving coming up on May 11th, BTC has been bullish for the last 7-8 weeks now. Breaking out of this resistance line will be bullish and the next major target will be at the 0.618 fib at 10k, but a failure to break this trend line I expect a sell off to commerce and this halving pump becomes another buy the rumor sell the news event similar to LTC halving last year where it ran to $140 before crashing to $25