At the beginning of last week, the market fell further, with BTC reaching below 57000. But then V-Reversal came along.
Last Thursday, the FOMC was held. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations. However, monthly Treasury bond redemption dropped from US$60 billion to US$25 billion, exceeding market expectations. While a rate cut remains far off, the shift continues.
Last Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor released U.S. employment data for April. After four consecutive months of strengthening employment conditions, it have weakened for the first time in mid-2024. BTC rebounded significantly after the employment data was released. And it has a superimposed effect with the slowdown in balance sheet shrinkage.
The crypto market’s correction may have passed or is about to pass the lows.
BTC rebounded again after breaking through a given support level last week, forming a V-Reversal. In terms of trading volume, last week's rebound was still below past averages. From the WTA indicator, we can see that the blue column representing the whale appears again, and it is large-scale. This can also be seen from the MBF indicator. After BTC fell below 57,000, there was a dip buying sentiment. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, but is narrowing.
To sum up, we still don’t know where BTC may have or will survive this correction. It could swing higher this week. We maintain our original resistance level of 74,000 and support level of 61,000.
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