SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-19 : Top-Resistance Pattern

قبل ٣ أيامToday's pattern is a Top-Resistance pattern.

After yesterday's Fed rate cut and the reaction, overnight, by the global markets, this top pattern suggests the markets will find a peak today and roll downward, away from that peak level.

Overall, I'm not too worried about a major crisis top today. I believe the Fed has unchained the US/Global markets a bit with the 50bp rate cut.

My custom indexes show the US/Global markets have moved into a new US-Dollar-based demand phase at the same time we are seeing a valuation-base and speculative-based price appreciation phase.

That means we are the following is taking place:

_ US Dollar is still stronger than most other currencies and demand for US-Dollar-based assets is still dominant.
_ Price appreciation is based on a renewed valuation accumulation phase. This is where traders see the US stock market as moderately undervalued and begin to accumulation based on discounted valuation levels.
_ Price appreciation is also based on a new speculative trend phase - showing more of a RISK ON mode where traders are chasing the upward price trends a bit more aggressively.

Putting all of that together, ahead of a US POTUS election event and the recent decrease in FFR, I think we are seeing a perfect environment for a MELT-UP trend to continue into a moderate early Santa Rally.

The one thing that could derail this momentum is some unexpected or crisis event that pops up out of nowhere. So be aware there are still risks.

Now, let's sit back and enjoy a rally day while we wait for confirmation of the breakaway high (FPT breach to the upside).

Get some.

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