بتكوينبيع
Interpretation of cryptocurrency market on SEP 21, 2022
The market was on the short side yesterday and is still complicated. There is some support at this price level. The opportunities already outweigh the risks, but it cannot be said that the lowest level of the current bear market has already appeared. After all, the bear market cycle is not over yet, and it is possible to have a violent downward trend at the end. So the analysis and operation will always be more complex, and we can only take one step and see what happens.
The recent lack of a rally in U.S. stocks has been favorable to our judgment. The rate hike in the early hours of tomorrow can be considered very important because the interest rate of 4% is already the limit of regulation. That means the Fed still has room to move only 1.5% to 2%.
As it stands now, inflation and recession are already either/or situations. If interest rates continue to rise on top of 4, the expectation of a downturn will directly pull down the value pivot for all markets. The bearishness is no less potent than inflation. So we arrive at the previous conclusion under the premise of relative rationality and disregarding "Black Swan." That is, at 4% as the target ceiling, 100 points would allow the Fed to exit rate hikes more quickly. So plunge to half position after the plunge.
And 75 points means there may be another 75 points before the end of the year. But in the short term is good so that it can be treated as a swing operation a little. At the end of the year with the probability of the bear market cycle is over. Then look for the next bottoming opportunity. The worst is the right side of the chance to chase the rise to prevent the treadmill. To complete the layout of the First wave of the bull market.
In addition, the volatility can be expected to be relatively large tonight. In addition to a suitable position of spot bottoming and periodic investment can be a little simple, other risk control operations must be in place.
The recent lack of a rally in U.S. stocks has been favorable to our judgment. The rate hike in the early hours of tomorrow can be considered very important because the interest rate of 4% is already the limit of regulation. That means the Fed still has room to move only 1.5% to 2%.
As it stands now, inflation and recession are already either/or situations. If interest rates continue to rise on top of 4, the expectation of a downturn will directly pull down the value pivot for all markets. The bearishness is no less potent than inflation. So we arrive at the previous conclusion under the premise of relative rationality and disregarding "Black Swan." That is, at 4% as the target ceiling, 100 points would allow the Fed to exit rate hikes more quickly. So plunge to half position after the plunge.
And 75 points means there may be another 75 points before the end of the year. But in the short term is good so that it can be treated as a swing operation a little. At the end of the year with the probability of the bear market cycle is over. Then look for the next bottoming opportunity. The worst is the right side of the chance to chase the rise to prevent the treadmill. To complete the layout of the First wave of the bull market.
In addition, the volatility can be expected to be relatively large tonight. In addition to a suitable position of spot bottoming and periodic investment can be a little simple, other risk control operations must be in place.
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