My thoughts on the crypto market looking at the HTF to the LTF setups playing out in these lows in altcoins.
Im thinking we capitulated into HTF key demand levels and SSL in August for the august monthly candle leaving a large downside range in most pairs creating the sellers climax (SC) event with huge volume nodes and wicks, starting the initial phase of the accumulation process in this local range and stopping the previous trend.
We have then ranged further and reaccumulate in the August candle in key levels creating the AR, ST and UA events in the range. Then as we moved into the September monthly candle where we failed to run the august lows with the ST event in phase b, as seller volume droped off as price tests the range lows indicating a lack of sellers after the SC event, giving us a possible wyckoff accumulation model 2 taking place as shown in the schematic below.
In turn leaving SSL intact on the august lows below $49,500 which we may not run, whilst people expect another sweep lower to take the LTF range lows, not realising its a potential accumulation range setting up in a larger overall range from the capitulation, without the need for an external LQ sweep to the lows again.
Im seeing a lot of coins following last points of support in accumulation structures on the LTF in key levels, flipping LTF bullish on the daily and now pushing higher.
Im thinking we see a possible expansion set up for October Q4 out of the lows in line with LTF bullish structure, going from LTF bullish accumulation following last points of support (LPS) into new HTF bullish structure as we come into Q4.
Thats kinda how im seeing the market set up right now and im leaning towards not seeing a further crash lower into new lows and the prior August lows for the most part just yet and more so towards this being an accumulation range with a pullback to LPS before a new bullish move higher into ATHs
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