BITCOIN .... target open 75k
Based on My description, here's a technical analysis framework for Bitcoin (BTC) with a *sell setup* targeting key downside levels, assuming the price fails to break above the resistance at *$94,500*:
---
### *Key Levels & Strategy*
1. *Resistance: *$94,500**
- A confirmed rejection at this level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume) would trigger a sell signal.
- A break and close above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
2. *Downside Targets*:
- *Target 1: $91,000*
- Near-term support; a breakdown here signals momentum weakening.
- Likely a minor bounce zone, but a close below 91k opens the door to deeper corrections.
- *Target 2: $88,000*
- Stronger support (e.g., previous swing low, Fibonacci level, or institutional buy zone).
- *Target 3: $85,000*
- Psychological level and potential institutional accumulation area.
- *Target 4: $80,000*
- Major support (e.g., 200-day moving average or long-term trendline).
- *Target 5: $75,000*
- Worst-case scenario (bear market territory if fundamentals deteriorate).
---
### *Technical Tools to Confirm the Setup*
- *Volume*: Increasing volume on breakdowns below each target confirms bearish momentum.
- *RSI/MACD*: Oversold conditions (RSI < 30) at targets like 85k or 80k could signal a reversal or pause.
- *Chart Patterns*: Look for descending triangles, head-and-shoulders, or breakdowns from consolidation.
- *Fibonacci Retracement*: Targets may align with key Fib levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from recent swings.
---
### *Risk Management*
- *Stop-Loss*: Place above $94,500 (resistance) or a tighter stop at $93,000 if price shows weakness before the resistance.
- *Position Sizing*: Scale out profits at each target (e.g., sell 20% at each level).
- *Market Context*: Monitor macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed policy, ETF inflows/outflows, regulatory news) that could override technicals.
---
### *Scenario Planning*
1. *Bullish Invalidations*:
- A close above $94,500 could trigger short squeezes toward 100k+. Watch for bullish catalysts (e.g., ETF demand, halving momentum).
2. *Bearish Acceleration*:
- A break below 75k could signal a structural downtrend (e.g., recession fears, crypto-specific black swan).
---
### *Psychological Notes*
- *Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)*: Avoid chasing the trade if price gaps past key levels.
- *Confirmation Bias*: Use multiple indicators (not just price action) to validate entries/exits.
Let me know if you'd like a chart markup or deeper dive into specific tools! 📉
---
### *Key Levels & Strategy*
1. *Resistance: *$94,500**
- A confirmed rejection at this level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume) would trigger a sell signal.
- A break and close above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
2. *Downside Targets*:
- *Target 1: $91,000*
- Near-term support; a breakdown here signals momentum weakening.
- Likely a minor bounce zone, but a close below 91k opens the door to deeper corrections.
- *Target 2: $88,000*
- Stronger support (e.g., previous swing low, Fibonacci level, or institutional buy zone).
- *Target 3: $85,000*
- Psychological level and potential institutional accumulation area.
- *Target 4: $80,000*
- Major support (e.g., 200-day moving average or long-term trendline).
- *Target 5: $75,000*
- Worst-case scenario (bear market territory if fundamentals deteriorate).
---
### *Technical Tools to Confirm the Setup*
- *Volume*: Increasing volume on breakdowns below each target confirms bearish momentum.
- *RSI/MACD*: Oversold conditions (RSI < 30) at targets like 85k or 80k could signal a reversal or pause.
- *Chart Patterns*: Look for descending triangles, head-and-shoulders, or breakdowns from consolidation.
- *Fibonacci Retracement*: Targets may align with key Fib levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from recent swings.
---
### *Risk Management*
- *Stop-Loss*: Place above $94,500 (resistance) or a tighter stop at $93,000 if price shows weakness before the resistance.
- *Position Sizing*: Scale out profits at each target (e.g., sell 20% at each level).
- *Market Context*: Monitor macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed policy, ETF inflows/outflows, regulatory news) that could override technicals.
---
### *Scenario Planning*
1. *Bullish Invalidations*:
- A close above $94,500 could trigger short squeezes toward 100k+. Watch for bullish catalysts (e.g., ETF demand, halving momentum).
2. *Bearish Acceleration*:
- A break below 75k could signal a structural downtrend (e.g., recession fears, crypto-specific black swan).
---
### *Psychological Notes*
- *Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)*: Avoid chasing the trade if price gaps past key levels.
- *Confirmation Bias*: Use multiple indicators (not just price action) to validate entries/exits.
Let me know if you'd like a chart markup or deeper dive into specific tools! 📉
تم فتح الصفقة
✅ sell Entry: 92,700
🎯 Take Profit: 91,120.,150 pips✅ (Successfully Reached!)
profit running start
keep hold in sell position target 75k
ملاحظة
Trade active
✅ sell Entry: 92,700
🎯 Take Profit: 82,400.,1030 pips✅ (Successfully Reached!)
profit running start
keep hold in sell position target 75k
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.