Bitcoin: Resistance Now Back To Support?

٢٥ أغسطسBitcoin rejected the 56K support and is now testing 64K resistance. Read my previous article to learn how I described this scenario a week in advance. With price at a proven resistance, along with a couple of inside bars suggests momentum continuation higher BUT how much higher? With the coming week typically being the SLOWEST week of the year, expectations should be LOW as far as seeing a push back into the high 60KS. Based on the recent price history along with considering the broader context, I am anticipating the 64K resistance area sticks and price is more likely to see the 60K support over the coming week.

Why this scenario over the countless possibilities? My reasoning is simple: the broader context has proven to be a range bound environment. In a range or consolidation, relevant support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to hold. That is the expectation, but whether the MARKET decides to agree with that is another story. This is precisely why having a routine way to CONFIRM the price action is key (this is what my Trade Scanner Pro is all about). The market is currently at a resistance, IF price action confirms a sell signal, the next support is around the 60K area (see arrow). I anticipate buying activity to confirm in such an area.

To use this information effectively, you must have certain things figured out. For example, if you are a day trader, it is reasonable to look for sell signals across smaller time frames near the 64K area. Risk can range from 150 to 400 pts (1 min to 5 min time frame) while profit objectives can range from 200 to 500 points max. This is all determined by the parameters of the time frame you operate within. Getting short now and expecting a test of 60K because "its a big move" does NOT account for the associated risk and profit objectives of your relative time frame (Trade Scanner Pro calculates all of this).

As I mentioned in my previous article, play the support/resistance levels or don't play at all. This is ESPECIALLY important this coming week which is typically the slowest of the year in terms of average volume. Slows grinds one way or the other, sharp movements one way or the other, lack of follow through, fake outs are all very common occurrences in such an environment. In my opinion, play small, recognize when you are WRONG fast and do NOT cling to hope. For beginners especially, if there is any time to take time off, this is the week.
If you must trade, at least trade on paper and learn while protecting yourself from a very highly random market.

For the majority of participants, this is a game of CHANCE not skill. The reason is they are misinformed into believing they are cultivating a skill which in reality has NOTHING to do with the outcome of their trade or action. For example, being able to read oscillators, interpreting news and recognizing patterns, etc. Like a slot machine, no matter how good you get at interpreting the animations, fancy images, sounds and buttons, you will have absolutely no effect over the outcomes of your bets. Does it have to be this way in the markets? No, but it is all a function of the quality of the information you choose to consume. Not all information carries the same value.

Here's something to consider: IF most of the population has access to the same information as you, chances are it offers NO advantage which means your outcomes are likely random. The skill in this game is being able to recognize value that is overlooked by the broader population while being flexible enough to adjust to changes that only price itself can convey. If you are having a hard time, you are most likely believing the misinformation that you consume.

Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.