23.5K and then 21K

١٣ يونيو ٢٠٢٢

Morning folks,

Those who read our weekly reports on FPA site on fundamental analysis of the US economy probably are not surprised with the BTC collapse. As BTC as the stock market are doomed. We expect 2500 level on S&P on mid-term perspective with further drop below 2000 in longer-term, which means that our long term targets on BTC is 12K and 8K...

Now BTC is challenging the last bullish outpost around 25-26K. This is last 5/8 all time Fib support on BTC. Lower is just a "free" space. Thus, currently we intend to go from one tactical target to another and control oversold levels.

Now daily oversold level is ~21K. Potentially market could reach two extensions. First one is 1.27 and it stands at 23.5K, next one is 1.618 - 21K, that is very close to daily oversold. This is the program until Thursday, guys.
If Fed rise rate for 0.75 - downside action should accelerate. Intraday upside retracement should not be too strong. At first glance, it seems that 26.2K and 27-27.4K are two levels that worthy of our attention, where we could consider short entry.

Obviously we consider no new long positions.