Current market structure analysis indicates that Bitcoin is in the final stages of its accumulation phase before a mini bull run. Key market structure zones and projected price targets for the next two years are outlined below:
Accumulation Phase
Current Support Zone: $57,405 - $61,302 Bitcoin is consolidating within this range, indicating strong accumulation by long-term holders and institutional investors.
Mini Bull Run
Projected Highest High: $91,236 As Bitcoin breaks out of the accumulation phase, we anticipate a mini bull run with the highest high reaching approximately $91,236. This phase is expected to be driven by increasing demand and positive market sentiment.
Correction Cycle
Main Support Zone: $47,620 Following the mini bull run, a slow correction cycle is projected to commence, bringing Bitcoin down to a main bottom support around $47,620. This correction is seen as a healthy pullback, setting the stage for the next bullish phase. Parabolic Bullish Cycle
First Target: $139,130 From the $47,620 support zone, Bitcoin is expected to begin a parabolic bullish cycle. The first significant target in this cycle is around $139,130, marking a substantial price appreciation.
Parabolic Cycle Correction and New Targets
Maximum Target: $236,000 Following the initial parabolic run, Bitcoin is projected to undergo a correction before ascending to new heights. The absolute maximum target for this 3.5-year cycle is estimated to be around $236,000.
Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Bitcoin
Japanese Index Decline: The recent rapid decline in the Japanese index has introduced uncertainty in the Asian markets. Investors are increasingly looking for safe-haven assets, which could boost demand for Bitcoin.
US Market Sentiment: With the US markets closing in the red on Friday and gold prices reaching an all-time high, there is a growing shift towards alternative investments like Bitcoin.
Japanese Yen Weakness: The continued decline of the Japanese yen is anticipated to accelerate Bitcoin’s mini bull cycle correction. This macroeconomic trend is likely to contribute to the expected decline to the $47,000 support zone before the parabolic bullish phase.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's market structure suggests a promising outlook for the next two years, characterized by significant price movements and opportunities for strategic investments. The interplay between macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s inherent market cycles underscores the importance of staying informed and agile in response to evolving market conditions.
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