Bitcoin : what if we were all wrong

What if we were on an unprecedented rally due to expectations of the fed's pivot?

And if unemployment and inflation expectations were already known and positive, shouldn't we see a slowdown in the Fed's key rates and therefore an upturn in risk ?

After all, wouldn't the news on binance and coinbase announce regulation and therefore the entry of new players?

Here I tried to perform an ICT/SMC analysis with wyckoff

imbalance : market ineficiency (can be revisited by the market)
HH : Higher high
LL : Lower Low