Fundamentals: - Mt.Gox 160k BTC Creditor Distribution rehab programme filed (Still Looming!!!)- Bearish - New $2000 Stimulus Package Potential - Hugely Bullish - Coinbase going Public - Big eyes on Crypto - Pro Crypto appointment at the SEC - V. Bullish - Institutional Investment continues - Skybridge Capital ($182 million in December) / MassMutual ($100 million in December) / Guggenheim (up to 10% of its $5 billion macro fund). - Christine Lagarde (European Central Bank) calls BTC ‘Speculative Asset’ - Bearish - Jeff Currie ‘Goldman Sachs’ called for more institutional investment to stabilise BTC - Neutral (Claims 1% 0f BTC held by financial institutions).
Personal Opinion:
The decision point is real - we have three foreseeable options at the moment for BTC and all as equally viable.
Option 1 - Break up and continue straight to test and challenge the ATH - not unlikely as there is a lot of excitement coming back. STIMULUS STIMULUS STIMULUS
Option 2 - Tak a refjection here and fall back to 36.6k or 33.7k (although at this stage is very very dangerous territory as a H&S will be forming) support and then onwards to ATH
Option 3 - retrace hit the 33.7k and then fall to 30k - at which point extreme FUD in the market and full H&S will be formed. A really bad look for BTC and likely the start of the longer term downwards movement
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