BTC走勢 / BTC Quotation

٢٩ أغسطس ٢٠٢٢

消息&總體經濟:
FED主席鮑爾鷹派言論讓道瓊指數再現單日大跌千點幅度
加密貨幣市場與美股連動性近年來越來越高
資金恐慌性逃竄此類高風險性商品更會領先反映
跌幅也更為明顯劇烈


技術面:
圖中斐波納契
6/19前低17622與8/15前高25211為基準點
目前跌至73.6(19640)暫時有支撐
目前整體走勢還是以美股走勢為指標
尚未得知美股對於利空反應是否完畢 趨勢不明

如果幣價跌破斐波73.6(19640) 則下方綠色區塊18610-19120會率先提供支撐
若跌破該支撐區間
從今年高點下來這種急跌走勢較難單腳反轉整體走勢
則空頭可能會走強再回測前低17622

多頭重獲推動力待向上站回斐波50(21426)
但整體要反轉向上 再打一隻腳 底部18000-19000附近盤整後再上較為穩健

純屬個人看法並非投資建議
歡迎交流討論!

News & general economy:
Dow Jones index plunged by 1,000 points in a single day after Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish tone
The correlation of crypto assets with the US stocks market has been increasing significantly in recent years
High-risk commodities such as Bitcoin, their decline were even more pronounced after panic selling.

Technical analysis:
Fibonacci: 6/19 lowest and 8/15 highest 25211 as the benchmark.
Currently, price at Fibo 73.6 (19640) seems to have temporary support
Currently, the overall quotation of cryptocurrencies is based on how the US stock moves
Unsure when the US market will defy bad news and be stabilized.

If the price falls below Fibo73.6 (19640), the green block (18610-19120) will provide initial support
It’s difficult to reverse the overall quotation with just one bottom after plummeting from this year's high point.
If the price fall below the green block, it may backtest the lowest point (17622)
The bullish way regains its momentum, wait until the price stands back to Fibo50(21426)

Personally feel it needs to make the second bottom,
and consolidate between 18360-19090, then it is more stable to go upside.

All is just personal opinion, not investment advice
Any discussion is welcome!