Following the sequence of new and full moon we can see that the two actually match. Now for our last new moon, the price has dropped following our theory. I'm expecting BTC to continue further down somewhere around 33k to a double bottom, which lines up perfectly with the next full moon, and the beginning of the Mercury retrograde.
I'm using the Mercury retrograde as another point of analysis, as the last one we had last year matched perfectly with bull-run that started in September. Let's see how this will play-out.