Despite on-chain metrics showing whale accumulation at current levels, based on market corrections from the past, we're likely to see further downside before going higher. I realize this is fairly simple TA, but the H&S pattern has proven very reliable.
Previous pullbacks from BTC's all time highs have also been in the 60% range, and we're not quite there yet.
The Weekly Head & Shoulders pattern is still likely here with a pull back to 24.5k area, before rocketing higher to a new ATH.
Here are the 3 scenarios I'm 'seeing' because I trade what I see, not what 'should be happening'.
Scenario 1 - We go slowly higher to new ATH at Fib 1 target ($82-85k BTC).
Scenario 2 - We drop slightly to 28k range, then build toward new ATH at Fib 2 target (120k BTC).
Scenario 3 - We drop to trendline support thus completing the H&S pattern, then rise sharply to new ATH at Fib 3 target by the end of 2021 (155k BTC).*
Scenario 2 and 3 would be better for a longer term rise higher for Bitcoin, as it would put in a stronger base.
* Disregard the chart timeline showing 2022-2023, I'm using the weekly to show the pattern and arrows to show likely scenarios but they are not drawn to timeline scale.
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