CADCHF Long Term Outlook

تم تحديثه
CADCHF has moved accordingly with one of my previous ideas:

CADCHF Short


There is however an ascending trendline on the weekly/daily chart dating back to around Jan 2016, and so we have two possibilities in the coming week:

The first possibility is that it bounces, the CAD recovers, and we enter long for the next few months for a lot of pips. Easy.

The second possibility is that CAD weakens further, and it breaks this trendline to fall to the next major resistance around 0.7.
I want to say that I think a bounce and entry long is more likely due to a general good outlook on the Canadian economy right now... But the recent metals tariffs enacted by the Trump Administration in the US may have some long term effects on Canada.
Canada is the biggest exporter of steel and aluminum to the US. Prices of steel and aluminum have increased within the past few days for US consumers to offset these tariffs. So we will see if this effects the CAD at all.

Do your due diligence before trading.

I'll update this idea pending price action near the trendline.
ملاحظة
We're experiencing some hesitation around the trendline. We may see some period of consolidation before the long term direction of price reveals itself.
ملاحظة
Major bounce! We can enter long on dips.
تم فتح الصفقة
Entering long on the daily/weekly timeframe.
CADCHFLONGshortTrend Analysis

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