2/4/25 - $celh - I'm buying some back... sub $24
2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
CELH
I'm buying some back... sub $24
- ripped out of my position prior to last earnings
- mgmt not the best
- but dayum these beverages are so good
- yes they're seasonal, but int'l expansion, 25x PE for a brand producing decent cash $200 mm? on 5.5 bn EV... is >3.5% FCF yield.
- it's trading like it's
ELF but with inventory issues behind it
- perhaps it's the PEP results today, will have to check in with those folks later
- this is one where *maybe* you get it at sub $20. idk. it's not going to be a big position for me in this tape until we get some incremental lift on the sector or the stock
- but valuation now entering what i'd call extreme LT zone
- i think max downside maybe 18-20... and upside in the LT is clearly still in the 40s and above - so i like that skew, but i'm chewing slowly given scanner data a bit light lately
V
CELHI'm buying some back... sub $24
- ripped out of my position prior to last earnings
- mgmt not the best
- but dayum these beverages are so good
- yes they're seasonal, but int'l expansion, 25x PE for a brand producing decent cash $200 mm? on 5.5 bn EV... is >3.5% FCF yield.
- it's trading like it's
ELF but with inventory issues behind it- perhaps it's the PEP results today, will have to check in with those folks later
- this is one where *maybe* you get it at sub $20. idk. it's not going to be a big position for me in this tape until we get some incremental lift on the sector or the stock
- but valuation now entering what i'd call extreme LT zone
- i think max downside maybe 18-20... and upside in the LT is clearly still in the 40s and above - so i like that skew, but i'm chewing slowly given scanner data a bit light lately
V
تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا
this is just weird
honestly.
too much weird in the world to take on weird at lows.
could it rip tmr? f. idk.
but there's something wrong here.
i'll be back sub $20 if goes there.
enough complicated high quality names to give a S about.
V
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