IvanLabrie

Oil: Emerging uptrend

شراء
IvanLabrie تم تحديثه   
NYMEX:CL1!   عقود خام النفط الخفيف الآجلة
Crude oil has reached the weekly downtrend target I had labeled on my charts, and way ahead of time.
Amidst droves of hype, and news stories about Iran's contribution to global glut, and panic, oil started rallying (typically, after reaching a sentiment extreme, clearly diagnosed by my mentor, Tim West, in his publication calling the bottom in oil, with a 10 dollar downside risk, but potential for high 40s up).
The technical elements are there, we're approaching the end of the time for this downtrend, which implies a retest of 45.21 in the coming weeks is possible.

Knowing the general trayectory, we can look for signals in the daily and lower timeframes to enter long positions, and scale in, navigating this emerging uptrend until we hit the target on chart (if we ever do).
For the time being I'm long, and looking to add to this trade.
The recent news about Japan mega-dovish stance has been the catalyst for a surge in the bonds and gold, and I think this will transpire into oil and silver as well.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.
تعليق:
Might take a while to resume the move up, but still bullish overall.
تم فتح الصفقة:
Reentered longs.
تعليق:
If we don't hit 28,99 in 2 days I'll add to longs to average my entry. I'm in it as a pair trade with usdcad longs. (both long)
تعليق:
Tomorrow we'll probably have a buy signal again. To add if still in.
تعليق:
Adding to longs on a new signal.
تعليق:
(not yet, tomorrow maybe, or the day after tomorrow)
تعليق:
Longs are winning this tug of war.
The best strategy is to buy corrections, in this case we have a new potential uptrend signal emerging, right after this new mode has formed. I'll add to longs aggressively once it's confirmed.

تعليق:

I'll wait for the oil chart to align better for longs. It's considerably choppy in lower timeframes.
تعليق:
24.67 might get hit. We have a daily downtrend now.
تعليق:
Price stuck at the options expiration support.
تم فتح الصفقة:
I'm long oil as a pair trade with a gold short.
تعليق:
Great progress!
In from 27.87.
تعليق:
*28.87
تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا:
You can exit longs and flip short, use a 3 ATR sl (5 points to be safe) Then trail it closer after 2.5 point profit.
تعليق:
The path was more or less correctly diagnosed.

Now, we reached a critical level, I'm holding shorts from 41.7-41.14, but we might see a new leg up before a steeper retracement begins.

Pay attention to the 39 zone.

🔒Want to dive deeper? Check out my paid services below🔒

ivanlabrie.substack.com/
إخلاء المسؤولية

لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.