Dow Roadmap Nov 2022

١٢ نوفمبر ٢٠٢٢

It has not been a bad year for the old Dow..old people are wise and have no tech :).

٢ ديسمبر ٢٠٢٢

ملاحظة

In the box. Lets see how it goes

١٧ ديسمبر ٢٠٢٢

ملاحظة

Red box encounter proved to be deadly :)

٢٤ فبراير ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

Dow still cannot recover from the meeting with the Red Box. Old age, what can you do

٢٤ فبراير ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

Dec lowest closing low of Dow was 32758. One very important indicator i have learnt from Jeff Saut, the long time Chief Strategist of RJ, is the Hooper rule: If the December lowest closing low is broken in the 1Q of next year, it is a bad sign for the market. Well, we are close and March is ahead

٢٥ فبراير ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

The worst case scenario was Dow is in the vicinity of the Dec 2018 low, so peak to trough 40/41% decline over 2 years which is fine. Will track as we go

١٠ مارس ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

Dow closes the week below the Dec low and turns the trend across all important timeframes to negative. Which implies that the high made in Dec could stay for many, many months. The encounter with the Red Box was scary

١٤ مارس ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

In contrast to Dow, SPX/NDX have a still slightly more positive structure which leads to this sideways congestion