eth/usd 1hr long

hi its my first time i share a idea. its eth/usd in 1hr time frame. if eth dont break trend line(orange) it should go up to 4400 but if it break it it can come to 3930. and see BB %B and BBW, they told us that eth finished its bearish form. i also used fibonacci and it also says that eth cant go lower that 4070(fibo 1.618 line). please tell me your opinion.