EURUSD stays bullish unless breaking 1.0540 support confluence

٧ مارس ٢٠٢٣

After stalling a four-month winning streak in February, EURUSD prints mild gains so far in March. That said, the major currency pair’s latest recovery takes place from the 1.0540 support confluence comprising the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-month-old ascending support line. The upside momentum also takes clues from the upward-sloping RSI (14) line and upbeat MACD signals. As a result, the quote is well-set to challenge the last December’s peak surrounding 1.0740. Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 1.0740, which is more likely, the prices could aim for the mid-February top of around 1.0800. However, multiple hurdles could challenge the Euro bulls afterward, if not then the pair’s north-run toward the previous monthly high of near 1.1035 can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, a daily closing below the 1.0540 support confluence could quickly fetch the EURUSD price to January’s bottom of 1.0481 before highlighting the December 07 low near 1.0445. In a case where the pair sellers keep the reins past 1.0445, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of its run-up from November 2022 to February 2023, respectively near 1.0380 and 1.0230, could flash on their radar. It’s worth observing that the late October 2022 high near 1.0095 and the 1.000 level are crucial for the Euro bears to watch past 1.0230.

Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar as it stays firmer beyond the key support ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual Testimony.