EURUSD 27TH MARCH FORECAST
The EUR/USD needs to avoid a fall through the $1.0770 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0828. A return to $1.08 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and better-than-expected business survey numbers to support a breakout session.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at the Friday high of $1.08386 but fall short of the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0896. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.1022.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0702 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0650 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0645. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0519.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07479). The 50-day EMA moved away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above the 50-day EMA ($1.07479) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0828) to give the bulls a run at the Friday high of $1.08386 and R2 ($1.0896). However, a fall through the 50-day EMA ($1.0479) would bring the 100-day EMA ($1.07102) and S1 ($1.0702) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test resistance at the Friday high of $1.08386 but fall short of the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.0896. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.1022.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0702 into play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.0650 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0645. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0519.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.07479). The 50-day EMA moved away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.
A hold above the 50-day EMA ($1.07479) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0828) to give the bulls a run at the Friday high of $1.08386 and R2 ($1.0896). However, a fall through the 50-day EMA ($1.0479) would bring the 100-day EMA ($1.07102) and S1 ($1.0702) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
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