Yearly: The market is entrenched in a multi-year downtrend. Despite yearly structure breakouts, rejections from the CIP level have been consistent, indicating strong resistance. The failure to breach upper yearly resistance suggests substantial selling pressure. A post-breakout bearish buildup implies a high likelihood of further downside in the coming years.
Monthly: A shift from a bullish to a bearish character is evident. Strong resistance rejections, particularly marked by a classic doji in August 2023 within a blue-box-highlighted area, indicate significant downward potential. The momentum flow in August 2023 adds conviction to the bearish scenario.
Weekly: While the weekly chart shows some sideways movement, the current positioning lacks clarity. Further examination is required for a comprehensive view of the market dynamics.
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
Swing Structure: Bearish
Structure Behavior: Choch 50%
Swing Move: Impulsive
Inducement: Done; high is confirmed
Pull Back: 1
Internal Structure: Bearish
Ext OB: Unmitigated
Resistance: Found at the FVG area, with demand formed and three proper IFC rejections.
Time Frame Confluence: Daily
Pattern
Chart Patterns: A rounding triple top within a green rectangle indicates a bearish breakout, signaling the end of the corrective move.
Candle Patterns: Inside, with a Harami on Friday close.
Volume
Fixed range volume indicates a strong seller presence.
Significant bearish volume is observed at the green rectangle.
During the cycle, only one bearish candle had a significant impact on price.
Momentum RSI
Zone: Sideways
Range shift: Not clear but oscillating between sideways to bearish.
Divergence: A hidden bullish divergence suggests the potential for short-term bullish momentum.
Overbought sold rejections count: 1, with a bullish divergence.
Volatility Bollinger Bands
The middle band is below, indicating a bearish trend.
Expansion suggests a short-term sideways zone.
Just finished a walking on the band.
Strength According to ROC
Values: -0.37 GBP vs. 3.5 NZD, indicating NZD's strength.
Sentiment
High selling sentiment according to all the studies.
✔️Entry Time Frame: H1
✅Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️Current Move: Impulsive is starting.
✔Support Resistance Base: Extreme supply area.
☑️Candles Behavior: Rally-based drop, Momentum.
☑️Trend Line Marked: Waiting for breakout.
💡Decision: Ready for sell
🚀Entry: 2.046
✋Stop Loss: 2.0602
🎯Take Profit: 1.9750
2nd If Internal Structure change also Exit 3rd trendline breakout, Fomo
😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛Expected Duration: 15 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis reveals a strongly bearish sentiment in the market. The yearly and monthly perspectives provide a broader context, while the daily analysis points to an imminent impulsive move. The entry strategy aligns with the overall bearish outlook, with a clear risk-to-reward ratio and an expected duration of 15 days.