A rather different update here after the latest private polls I have access to come in again. The UK public is completely blind to what is going on behind the curtain, it is evident with a staggering majority of those who voted to leave are not blaming Johnson at all for missing the 31st deadline.

In my books, this is worth tracking as it highlights how Downing Street (with the blessing of public perception) have permission to bet solely on the public being more angry at Brexit not being delivered and bottlenecks the leave votes. We are seeing this with Farage & co at the Brexit party (all perfectly calculated).

ridethepig | Brexit Probability Tree 2019.10.21


Downing Street will continue to paint the Brexit narrative as necessary ignoring all economic warning; simply meaning UK markets will ONLY enter into waterfall mode once we clear elections.

Best of luck those tracking voting intentions as a proxy for Cable.
borisborisjohnsonbrexitbrexitargetsbrexitdealbrexittradeftse100Fundamental AnalysisGBPUSDuk10y

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