Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD resumed its upward momentum and traded near 1.2750 after an earlier decline. However, as market sentiment remained cautious ahead of the weekend, the pair struggled to gather further upside momentum and is still on track to post weekly losses.
The US Dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US Dollar will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the Pound will be influenced by the UK Employment data for the three months ending in July and July consumer inflation data, due on Tuesday and Wednesday. Economic data will indicate whether the Bank of England (BoE) will make further rate cuts in September.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in a wide range with the nearest support resistance in the price range of 1.281 and 1.261. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 is below the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is tilted to the downside with the lowest retracement around the support zone of 1.262. On the other hand, any daily close above the resistance level of 1.281 and a candle close above both EMAs would confirm a bullish trend with the resistance level of the week at 1.286, which is also the price range before the NFP announcement.
Resistance: 1.281-1.286
Support:1.267-1.262
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.286-1.288 SL 1.290
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.262-1.260 SL 1.258