Following the recent market session, the GBP/USD pair is exhibiting signs of compression within a descending channel, facing headwinds as it tests crucial support levels. The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment data release may provide further clarity on the direction of the USD, potentially influencing GBP/USD price dynamics.
Technical analysis: The pair is currently demonstrating a bearish pattern, as indicated by the descending channel shown on the chart. With the price now testing the lower boundary of this channel, a significant support zone is observed above the 1.25 level, marked in green. The recent price action below the 1.27 level suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A decisive break below the channel could signal a bearish continuation towards the next psychological support at 1.24. Conversely, a breakout above the descending channel and resistance at 1.2750 may alter the bearish sentiment, indicating potential for an upward reversal.
Our position: We are closely monitoring the pair's response to the lower channel boundary. Given the current bearish structure, we are inclined to consider short positions if there is a confirmed breakdown. However, with significant economic indicators on the horizon, we are prepared to adjust our stance should the data favor a bullish reversal for GBP/USD. The anticipated NFP and unemployment figures are key to determining the near-term sentiment and could provide impetus for the pair to breach current resistance levels or confirm the downtrend.
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