XAU/USD faces resistance despite recovering from recent pullback
تم تحديثه
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week trading with a positive bias after last week's correction. The precious metal dropped over 4% as strong economic data in the US continues to hinder the hopes of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Commentary last week from several FOMC members continued to point towards a restrictive policy for the foreseeable future, at least until meaningful progress in disinflation resumes.
The pullback did serve bulls for one thing: to confirm that support remains intact at the 23.6% Fibonacci ($2,326), a level that has halted declines in the past. There is still a lack of desire to be a seller of gold, given the prospects of further appreciation when the Fed – eventually – starts cutting rates. Fear of a resurgence in geopolitical tensions also continues to limit the downside in gold.
However, the bullish drive that was so evident in the first quarter of the year has started to dissipate. The path of least resistance remains higher, but it is becoming more laboured, with tougher and more frequent levels of resistance. XAU/USD will likely remain volatile in the coming weeks as more insight into the path of interest rates is sought. The US PCE index released later this week could offer some momentum, especially if the data deviates from what’s expected. Further Fedspeak will also continue to determine the direction for the precious metal.
Technically, the daily chart shows that XAU/USD is primed for another rally as the RSI rebounds from just below 50. The support from Fibonacci has offered buyers a new chance to push higher but there is some resistance in the short-term. The 20-day SMA, currently at $2,351, has moved back above the price, which may suggest some continued weakness over the next few days. Any correction is likely to remain superficial as long as XAU/USD holds above $2,300.
The pullback did serve bulls for one thing: to confirm that support remains intact at the 23.6% Fibonacci ($2,326), a level that has halted declines in the past. There is still a lack of desire to be a seller of gold, given the prospects of further appreciation when the Fed – eventually – starts cutting rates. Fear of a resurgence in geopolitical tensions also continues to limit the downside in gold.
However, the bullish drive that was so evident in the first quarter of the year has started to dissipate. The path of least resistance remains higher, but it is becoming more laboured, with tougher and more frequent levels of resistance. XAU/USD will likely remain volatile in the coming weeks as more insight into the path of interest rates is sought. The US PCE index released later this week could offer some momentum, especially if the data deviates from what’s expected. Further Fedspeak will also continue to determine the direction for the precious metal.
Technically, the daily chart shows that XAU/USD is primed for another rally as the RSI rebounds from just below 50. The support from Fibonacci has offered buyers a new chance to push higher but there is some resistance in the short-term. The 20-day SMA, currently at $2,351, has moved back above the price, which may suggest some continued weakness over the next few days. Any correction is likely to remain superficial as long as XAU/USD holds above $2,300.
ملاحظة
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The information provided is not to be considered investment advice or investment research. Capital.com will not be liable for any losses from the use of the information provided.'
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.