As discussed throughout my December #27 commentary: "My position: Even though many Traders expected Selling sequence to continue since #1,792.80 was invalidated, my estimations were showing different configuration and my re-Buy zone worked perfectly. My Buying order is delivering excellent result at the moment and I will hold my order since I do believe that #1,825.80 - #1,827.80 Higher High's zone might be tested. My practical suggestion for Short-term Traders is to keep taking advantage of the Volatility."
After much needed break and New Year vacations I have announced then which took place, it feels excellent to start Trading again. I have closed order above (#1,800.80 - #1,822.80) on a fine #22 point Profits (finished the Year on great manner) and extended my results range to #46 Profits and #11 Stop-loss hits regarding April - January cycle. I will use this chance to congratulate Traders who followed my Annual Trades, plenty more to come!
Technical analysis: Gold was once again used as a safe-haven amongst geopolitical tensions surrounding Trade tension problematic, as the Price-action aggressively soared towards #1,852.80 psychological benchmark (I have announced this possibility many times throughout my remarks), this is a Fundamental reaction and goes against the Technical correlation with DX, which as expected tested its Hourly 4 chart Support zone (note the possibility of Death Cross forming on DX's chart). Gold's fair value would be around #1,800.80 local Low's according to that correlation. Still the #1,852.80 - #1,862.80 Weekly (#1W) Top, is a Higher High's on the Daily chart's Ascending Channel, providing more comfortable Selling position to await. Always remember to stay on trend by identifying non-Technical fluctuations based on correlating instruments that can provide great Trading opportunities. I spotted the fractal with many similarities lot's of times before (one of the examples is during the Fed rate hike on #2017). Throughout whole December's configuration, Traders witnessed how Fundamentals can momentarily distort Technical trends, as a seemingly Bearish Daily chart's candle closed positive, hitting Stop-losses for Traders which didn't Bought the market (just like I did). However, keep in mind that on every Fundamental catalyst reaction - the more Price rises, the steeper the fall will be (or vice-versa). Bullish Daily chart's trend of Ascending Channel still weighs but on predominantly Bullish bias, since Gold is still above the #1,827.80 - #1,832.80 High Volatility variance. If my Weekly regressional analysis is correct on a future Bearish Weekly candle succession, then maximum on Gold should not Trade above #1,862.80 - #1,872.80, however it is still early to mention above levels.
My position: Since current session is my first Trading day after vacations and my both Short-term (one above mentioned) and Long-term (#1,852.80) Buying orders delivered spectacular results, I will await new pattern, at least for current session. Expect my commentary rate as normal from today.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.