High certainty pick
Based on the estimated 2026 EBITDA of 76 Crs INR and Forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 21x, I think the stock may have an FV of 94 INR (upside of 20% from 79 INR).
The EBITDA projection stems from assuming higher capacity utilization in 2026. The current capacity of the hospital is sitting around 71%, due to their recent expansion. I am of the view that as they market the hospital further they will get back to the 85% - 90% utilization range. To be conservative, I have modeled 85% OPD utilization in 2026, however, there may be a good shot their capacity may reach 90% in which case the stock could rally >100 INR. For OPD/IPD revenue, I have assumed no growth in 2026. If I add even below-average growth, the FV jumps >100 INR.
Thus, considering the recent sell-off of 25% from its high, and decent upside in a conservative scenario, this could be an inflection point for the stock.
This is not investment advice, this is what I AM GOING TO DO.
The EBITDA projection stems from assuming higher capacity utilization in 2026. The current capacity of the hospital is sitting around 71%, due to their recent expansion. I am of the view that as they market the hospital further they will get back to the 85% - 90% utilization range. To be conservative, I have modeled 85% OPD utilization in 2026, however, there may be a good shot their capacity may reach 90% in which case the stock could rally >100 INR. For OPD/IPD revenue, I have assumed no growth in 2026. If I add even below-average growth, the FV jumps >100 INR.
Thus, considering the recent sell-off of 25% from its high, and decent upside in a conservative scenario, this could be an inflection point for the stock.
This is not investment advice, this is what I AM GOING TO DO.
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إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.