NASDAQ approaching a medium-term top

٢٦ أغسطس ٢٠٢١

Following my most recent analysis on Nasdaq (see chart below), the Channel Up where the index has been trading on for almost 1 year, has traded to perfection:

At the moment, the price is trading exactly on the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the initial Channel Up (blue) and if broken, a new Channel Up (red) may emerge on a marginal divergence. This brings forward the following interesting fractal. Since February of this year, Nasdaq seems to be repeating the September 2020 - January 2021 pattern. As you see on the chart, the (A) to (E) path count is almost identical and it this is the case, then we are currently at the completion of wave (E) with only the blow-off top of (A) remaining. Notice how the RSI sequences are also fairly similar.

Therefore it may be a good idea for investors to pause buying for a few days/ weeks and return right after the index makes contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) again as it has done on the last three major buy events within the Channel Up (October 30 2020, March 04 2021, May 11 2021).



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