Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 19th.
Market Overview:
Both global markets and our local markets are still showing a moderately bullish trend. Moreover, today the market is expected to open slightly neutral to gap-up, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive move of around +70 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, we observed differing performances between the Nifty and Bank Nifty. The Bank Nifty had a solid rally, while the Nifty underperformed and closed in the negative. Typically, we might interpret this as a continuation of the negative bias; however, today the SGX Nifty is indicating a decent positive start. Therefore, if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the previous high, we can follow that direction. However, I am starting with a negative bias because theory suggests that. Let's look at the charts.
Nifty:
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the initial market declines, we can expect a minimum correction level of 38% on the downside. After that, if the market breaks or consolidates around the 38% mark, the correction is likely to continue. On the other hand, if there is a solid pullback, we can anticipate a minimum target of 61% to 78%. Simply put, if the bounce-back breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can anticipate reaching the 61% to 78% levels next.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, there may be some consolidation between the previous high and the previous day's closing price. If it breaks the previous high, the rally is likely to continue. However, we should wait for the breakout for directional movement.
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