September Post had the NAZ hit both lower and upper targets, the NAZ is range bound. The October play/noise will lean toward some Black Swan, election jitter, Fed Speak and through in the damage of Mother Nature. Unless the O/N Rig Team can fix this, NAZ may retest lower. Chart below is showing: Channel Break, Diablo and is hitting final FA called from last post. Push/Pull is here, next would be Open Drive drop and selling in Reg Session the finish off September, October should be a retest lower month.
ملاحظة
20,271 is KL and Short below / Long above
ملاحظة
Diablo break out or head fake.
ملاحظة
20,170 did hold after 20,270 KL drop and the Dead Zone will drive it up or sideways to the O/N Safe Zone. Should the DZ not lift, look short again.
ملاحظة
This is a Push/Pull day and is usually a signal prior to a drop. The DZ and O/N will try and lift it at all times which is creating the Push. The pull are the exiting or sellers.
ملاحظة
270-170 has been holding.
ملاحظة
Push/Pull on no volume can get wicked bad on strong moves lower, which is the idea.
ملاحظة
Go Fed, follow the yellow brick road.
ملاحظة
Long Trapper, hang on FOMO's
ملاحظة
DZ U Turn off of low, the games just continue and the NAZ will not break out lower. O/N may try and redirect this back up in range. The other play is that this is a Short shake out head fake. The low volume lets them just whip all over the place.
ملاحظة
10/1 Update, New month, new quarter & new money. The Reg Session yesterday did sell off with the late pop into the O/N (NAZ will not drop on all cylinders). Long above shaded Box and Short only on break through the lower side (NAZ has to break away with some force or the hit is a Long that will U Turn and Rocket up. Same patterns as usual until they breakdown
ملاحظة
IDS35 Chart from Friday Open Drive, the NAZ struggles to get lower and then pops back up with ease in minutes compared to the hours of slooow decline. This is the whipsaw that keeps both sides on guard, reason there is not much directional strength. We need a big drop to settle the argument. Notice the near close and into O/N redirect back up, yesterday.
ملاحظة
NAZ was rejected a few times yesterday at KL 20,270, now and after O/N lift/redirect it has been above and may be actually supported. Why in O/N and not Reg Session and on low volume? This is just another example of the games and how they are played. Whippy whip and this will not work forever.
ملاحظة
Box Top retest,
ملاحظة
NTZ inside the box, Mid Level will rotate around some. 28,080 is KL to watch.
ملاحظة
20,080 bouncing just watch the head fake long.
ملاحظة
Box Bottom and U Turn Zone. Needs to break out lower and stay out for true Short.
ملاحظة
Box Bottom to 080, U Turn Attempt.
ملاحظة
Scalp to 120 from 920.
ملاحظة
place stop at 920.
ملاحظة
reload at 900
ملاحظة
Add at 840.
ملاحظة
Another clear Pump/Dump with no strength NAZ in Reg Session. Scalp up may be limited.
ملاحظة
NAZ hit lower target and Scalping up is the idea unless freefall under KL 818.
ملاحظة
Drop the 840 add at 890
ملاحظة
Should float back to Box Bottom prior to next drop.
ملاحظة
IDS27 users, line up white arrows for long scalps or Short exits.
ملاحظة
Keep the original at 900.
ملاحظة
Long above arrow and short below.
ملاحظة
NAZ back under Diablo
ملاحظة
20,000 to 20,080 is range for stall out drop or lift to O/N Rig Trade.
ملاحظة
AI, Go Fed, BTD/FOMO every drop until it just crashes.
ملاحظة
Hook Long Trade here. Great day some we got some movement.
ملاحظة
Back later, U Turn number 2 and this will continue and is why the Long Scalps.
Box Bottom retest, folks.
ملاحظة
IDS27 Runner & Exit, Long when price is above white dots and look to exit when yellow line shows up and price is under yellow and white dots. Go Fed.
ملاحظة
I am Flat, looking for O/N Long Pop for next entry short. 980-818 is range here.
ملاحظة
O/N will have its work cut out TONIGHT. Missiles launched. NAZ still not moving lower with Force.
ملاحظة
Not funny but the Algo's will play the damage of missile hit/miss, BTD and no blast. Yeh that is price in the O/N and the missiles will not hit in the O/N Session. The O/N is the Boss and can Rig the War.
ملاحظة
40 point scalps with immediate pull back is what I see, Flat still and waiting on Break Out lower or O/N Magic Lift all the way back up.
ملاحظة
Yep, Box Bottom hit and O/N rally is likely next. Just watch the Head Fake.
ملاحظة
20,120 Long Call target (earlier call) is likely and will be next signal at reaction. I am still Flat.
ملاحظة
NOTHING will drop this index. War, Pandemic, Mother Nature, Politics, etc. When that time comes it will be massive.
ملاحظة
OK, not a call but the white arrow is the U Turn play and this would be #40 or so over past 2 plus years. Do Not Doubt that this could happen.
ملاحظة
I am leaving for the day and going to see a fortune teller for trading guidance and then the Tooth Fairy, Bigfoot and Mickey Mouse. Just getting ready for the Magical O/N Session Rig Show. Just watch any Short shakeout and stand ready on any lower range break lower.
ملاحظة
10/2 Update, No U Turn in O/N and that is not good for the BTD/FOMO (1 way trader/strategist). Chart below is showing Push/Pull zone (we are in one now). The NAZ kas run 10,000 points from January 2023 low to ATH. That said, we are only 17-18% above 11/21 high. 50% retracement lower is that same level, just saying that NAZ may or should retest after such a far run up (10,000 points 1/23). This just may be the Month to set that up, or after the election.
ملاحظة
NAZ under Box Bottom, U Turn or bust today
ملاحظة
O/N Session, all push/pull price action and usually leads to Open Drive selling 1st. May see lift up just prior to Open, that will set up better Short.
ملاحظة
Like clockwork, just lifted
ملاحظة
Good Luck today, Go Fed.
ملاحظة
O/N Rig Group takes it to near O/N high just prior to Reg Session Open Drive and now it is coming back down, watch the O/R PA.
ملاحظة
O/R 1st move lower after O/N Pump/Dump set up
ملاحظة
Try to Trade Entry at the EDGES in opposite direction.
ملاحظة
Edge to Edge, sideways and next move, may try U Turn or sideways to O/N Safe Zone for O/N Prop Job.
ملاحظة
NAZ just back in Mid Box, a pass of ML is white and rejection is yellow. Go Fed.
ملاحظة
NAZ stuck in mid Level and just can't wait to get to the Safe Zone for the Magical Lift in the O/N. I would expect a Move Up Up Up in the low volume O/N Session.
ملاحظة
10/3 Update, No Overnight lift, that is not good for the BTD's or FOMO's. Range to watch as this unfolds is 19,800 - 20,050. NAZ stayed inside Yellow Arrow zone.
ملاحظة
IDS27 O/N H/M/L, watch the EDGES for trade opportunities today.
ملاحظة
ML of O/N Range, O/R PA is key today.
ملاحظة
Looking like U Turn attempt.
ملاحظة
Trade at the EDGDES, back to ML O/N.
ملاحظة
Multiple rejections at 20,050 should result in a drop, need to get passed Dead Zone and O/N Rig.
ملاحظة
To help with the entry/exit or trade times, use the shaded time zones and KL (key level) to place the trade. You will see direction changes when the TT and KL match up for continuation or opposite direction trades.
ملاحظة
Dead Zone until the Final hour, 11am CT does usually provide some movement and then next TT is the final hour of Reg Session.
ملاحظة
11AM TT Direction change near KL
ملاحظة
Rigged, Go Fed.
ملاحظة
Just find it hard to think that we see the Friday-Monday Long Rocket play with this weak Price Action. With that said, you may want to look Long 1st as this try's sideways move to O/N Safe Zone.
ملاحظة
Just flat and will see what they try to pull in O/N. Likely Up Up Up since down down down just will not actually happen. Long in the O/N unless War breaks out and kicks the Black Swan into flight.
ملاحظة
10/4 Good Buddy Update, Waiting for Box Breakout (any, just give us something). So the typical O/N lift ups have stopped over past week or so. The next typical move is the Friday to Monday Long Pop. Let's see if that breaks down next. White arrow is long pop target and yellow is drop and Diablo low.
ملاحظة
Notice the lift and we are 10 minutes to Open, all lifts come in Off Session. The Reg Session will need to hold this as we enter the weekend and the War issue. Strike is handled.
ملاحظة
Watch the 10YN
ملاحظة
O/N Pump/Dump, not good for Friday-Monday pop run.
ملاحظة
NAZ will not drop.
ملاحظة
20,150 -100 is key area to watch. NAZ under 20,100 may tank lat day and above may see Failed Auction lift up into the close.
ملاحظة
Dropped through the zone and will not Tank. Just strange PA. Stay out and the upside may surprise you on a Friday afternoon. This usually will pop prior to drop and Big Drop.
ملاحظة
Notice how the O/N high is way above Reg Session zone. The games continue so waiting to see if Friday Rig Pop into Close shows up. If not, may see a drop by Monday but doubt that.
ملاحظة
Nothing has changed my friends. Same flows, patterns, set ups, tricks, etc. Have a good weekend and let the Friday-Monday Rig Pop play out.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.