NAZ has been in a 300 point range for 9 days. Thursday may be a narrow day with Friday going higher. Current price is relatively the same as prior days, may go lower. The up days are much larger. Use IDS to take counter Longs and get out on stall. The Dead Zone will most likely take off over one of the next few days.
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We are 350 points above the Danger Zone. NAZ may try for this and if so, I would expect a U Turn. O/N sell off may see a rally in Open Session.
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O/N SZ's and KL's (Yellow Lines)
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12880 is Hold and 1st Strong Long, should the NAZ get that low.
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Updated SZ's
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Long and take profit with short at no pass of high to lower SZ or 980 KL. Look for bounce at KL 980 for 2nd Long on hold
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O/N tried to get back in Box and was rejected. Look for another attempt or LOW SZ retest.
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Tu use IDS, white arrow is Long, line up lower indicator with white bars. Yellow arrow is Take Profit to Short play (short is optional) When price stays above white MA line, stay long with adds. I will show a Short example when NAZ falls under a Red MA (MA changes colors).
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The KL and SZ's are needed for targets and this is where I come in. Use KL/SZ for targets and pull backs.
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Expecting a narrow day with Open Drive tetseing O/N low and sideways. Friday should be a decent Long day should Banks report well. Usually Friday Dead Zone or late day will run up like a train for no reason.
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White arrow, Yellow bar lower that previous high with Red Bars and heading to white MA. MA should change to Red and NAZ should retry lower SZ's. If not, than another Long Scalp. White lines are slight Divergence, this would suggest a drop.
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So far the Long Scalps add up to over 100 points and if you Shorted PB's, it is higher. This goes on all day. No hurry or worry, just wait for these set ups to develop.
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Now we are seeing stronger selling below 12990 and MA is RED. This is where you can get tricked and go in too early. The what looks to be a (under Red MA) Short is a Long Set up. Need to line up all parts that I have shown. Use KL/SZ as next target.
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Notice the 100 point Range. Most major moves with NAZ will average 100 points. Use as a gage. When lower indicator stays up or dips lower then back up, that is start of new 100 point move. Example from yesterday when minutes were released.
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990 is key, no pass and may see this.
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965 may bounce if drop takes off.
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This may help, white arrow lines up 3 whites and orange 4. This would be for a Long Signal. The 4 are, Lower indicator Bar, MA, Range Bar and MA under the price. The MA under the price is not the MA for longer trend.
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Lower indicator will need to stay white and build, NAZ may struggle at 13000. This is O/N and usually gets sold off after Open. I am not chasing this one.
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The more the O/N lift gets sold off prior to Open is better for a Long play at Open or after.
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For Short Trade, you look for white price bar under the Red MA. Line up 3 or 4 for trend. This is a beginning of a next more. Short would of been at 13000 at no pass. Now you would line up the Reds for entry Short, should price stay below MA.
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NAZ popped on Claims release, trying to stay in Box and trying for upper target. This is why I did not call Short earlier, mentioned beginning of Next Move. Thing is any upward movement appears to be struggling over the past few days, Open may drop this and Dead Zone may attempt to push back up.
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IDS50 Shows this entire run form low is on 2nd leg and hitting bottom of price channel. Not calling Long, this all from Knee Jerk of Claims. I will Go long on drop test as I am expecting a narrow day.
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13034 is bottom of yesterday 1st 30m, NAZ was rejected, may try again and top is 13180.
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Pull back to 12970 is likely for Lon try, no Short call. I need to see the Open PA. Things have ben so off past week or so.
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13060 may stall out some and look short, at no pass after stall.
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12960 to 13060 is the 100 point run that may drop or retest.
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Wait for IDS to show 3 -4 colors
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13080 is a Short wait for Colors
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Updated SZ's
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Upper Target is Hit and I am Short with 50 point stop above. Short target is 100 points below. I have to leave so so letting it play out, back later.
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Moved Stop 13180 or all of pre open trade profits. NAZ back in Mid Box and This could be a great Short Set Up to pull in the FOMO's and BTD's
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Great example of colors lining up and NAZ getting below MA. The Short was good for a Scalp but IDS did not confirm, this was a Pull Back Scalp to Long. Was out so I let it fly. Should be good with drop as the PA is very strange.
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Key to Strong Short is White Arrow, the indicator will need to hook or drop. If not, this will go higher.
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Strange day, indicators are upside down, looks like an air pocket for next day or so. 50 points above Short, may get stop if NAZ passes 150. May see a big drop on stall out.
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Looks like they just flipped the switch. You have to wonder why they are rigging this up?
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Updated SZ's
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Circle is backswords, I have never seen this. Price up with strength under.
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13140 for 2 hours, NAZ will move another 100 out of zone. I am looking at loer, ma be higher.
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NAZ is trying for 13180, stop at 13190. This is Drop offset as NAZ has really gone nowhere in 10 day range.
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IDS MA Line is perfect for taking Longs. When it breaks, may doozy. Glad I had the points to offset hit.
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next pull back is at 155, lets see if holds.
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Here we go, every PB has bounced so far.
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13156 hit and under high, may turn if no take out of high.
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I have seen these days where the NAZ will retrace 85% of previous and then Drop big.
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13410 -100 is air pocket, NAZ under 140 will drop to 100. May be next day or so.
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Stopped -10, +100 on Longs and -110 on Short
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13250 Next or drop
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Tuff day, I placed Short and left and came back. You can see that IDS was solid with MA hits for Longs. I would not had gone short and left if I did not have +100 to use. Anyway, IDS was off, 2nd time in 3 years that has happened. Usually a big counter move will follow in a few days.
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From 13120, next was up. The Air Pocket was the curveball.
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Dead Zone run was today, tomorrow narrow lower.
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Updated SZ's
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The ZS's are imbalance zones and all one sided buying. These usually get retested.
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13210 Short, why not. Target is 13152. Stop 50 up. Early and do not follow. I have the points.
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This may be a Short covering? Something is off.
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SZ 93 hit, will lower stop to 13225
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Under 220 should drop again.
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Other way is to take profit at SZ.
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I am looking for NAZ to break 140 and drop, may not happen.
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It is hard when IDS or indicators are off.
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When NAZ is far from MA, good scalp (usually), today is a freight train.
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Should go, just need 2pm Ticks.
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Stop was 90 and SZ was 93, Using stops with NAZ can be costly.
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Heavy selling at 116, betting on it to hold.
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Drop/Pop may take profit at 13175
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So far weak Final hour start. May hit stop and drop. I will not reload.
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Today looks good, but NAZ is nowhere new. Drop is doable in next day or so. Should the Short hold, I will hold it.
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Some may view this as Double Top should 13248 not be taken out. Stop hit -15
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Should of taken at SZ and reversed.
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On again at 13220
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stop at 13255, this one is a keeper
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Divergence on IDS and turtle PA
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Best trade here was Short ti SZ 93 and reverse. I think the selling comes back as lift is weak.
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New SZ at 13200
تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا:
I have to leave, will hold this one. Bank earnings to bring it all back down, tomorrow.
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Closed Short at 13200 +20
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IDS is back to normal, NAZ hit SZ 13200 and heading to 13175
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Today was odd. Good though to see the MA hold for what would of been Long Adds. When in the zone, you would go long with stop just below. Take profit at peak or bar color change. Trick is not getting out too early or going Short at MA when the Long is the trade. Lower indicator was off, as I mentioned.