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NQ Range (01-21-25)

Basically we are 2 weeks into 2025 and 2 weeks until month end. The games have not changed and are still working, just fine. The battle continues to be between the Overnight (O/N) and Regular Session price action. O/N moves up and Reg Session is sideways to lower (struggling lower). Yellow arrow is 12/18 and a Reg Session route. This was after 11 trading days with O/N PA used to lift, then the 2 hour Reg Session drop erased the lift. Yellow circle is drop in Reg Session (struggling lower). This U Turns into the channel up of TLX 758 (all O/N PA). I just feel we will see another 12/18 move around the corner. The 18th was 1,000 point drop (Do I hear, 1,500, 2,000, 2,500...). YTD Open is 21,250, you can see we are rotating around, TLX's above and below, White Arrow is breakout long (needs to pass TLX) and Yellow is Short. 21,200 & 20,200 are 2 U Turn Zones, we just saw 21,200 do exactly that. Back under will try lower zone and maybe that is the 1,000 point 1-2 move that is on its ways mostly likely in a Reg Session.

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10YN needs to head North (drop yields) out of this Shaded Zone range.

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MAG7, keep an eye on Apple as it needs to stay above ML bracket. Loose 1 of only 7 and the 6 others will need to be perfect. Loose 2 or more and yields lift, we got a problem Houston which the O/N Rig Team can't fix.

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1/20 Update, Not trading but the pattern continues even when the markets are closed. The chart below is the IDS35 system and example of set ups. White arrows are long and Yellow are short. Tow whites in Reg Session are Long Targets (from Long Set Up). Just notice how price will play off MA's and stay inside previous ranges. A break out from a range is what we are looking for and Scalp inside the range. Lower indicator will help with overbought/oversold. Today we have the typical O/N pump/dump into the O/R (Open Range) selloff or retest at a KL or previous range high.

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Notice the Air Pocket in the lower indicator setting up. Drop or quick pullback should follow.

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Under 745 is a Short to 650-30 range. Above 745, Look for 775-800.

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731 is top, shaded area is range and air pocket is in play. NAZ will move out of here or out of Shaded Range.

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685 needs to break for Short. Anyway, long in O/N and selloff in Reg Session is the flow and has been for about 2 years. Overnight is Go Fed, BTD/FOMO and long on any Holiday Sessions or long weekend.

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Hit and back in zone.

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Monday O/N may run up until near Tuesday Open Drive. Have a feeling it will be a sell the news type day (tomorrow). Could be wrong and may be in mid day Dead Zone or even Tuesday O/N or Wednesday O/R.

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Whichever arrow is hit 1st will be U Turn (lower) and Reversal (upper), sideways in ML and next drop. At ML now, so a move to one of these arrows is next and lower 1st may drop and No U Turn.

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O/N early games, Back in the channel.

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1/21 Update, Looking at the NAZ near 5am, the move last night hit Danger Zone TL and is now just under ML Channel. The upper range would be 21,895 or Yellow arrow above.

KL 628 is long above and short below.

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I will be out most of early morning, old patterns have not changed and the huge O/N range may be played inside during Reg Session. In other words, no gains or growth just churn and whipsaw until next O/N session.

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10YN has a potential outside reversal going. NAZ may follow.

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21,215 and under is ODR for NAZ, this may be YTD open retest (drop/bounce). Keep an eye on, otherwise Long should Reg Session actually Lift and not selloff.

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750-628 is range

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O/N Range

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21,380 break will try for ODR, may see an M develop.

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NAZ needs to get and stay above O/N High, usually does not.

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628 retest

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Typical O/N Pump/Dump.

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628 above or below is next signal.

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This is Apple and now MAG6

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Pop or drop here on the lower channel

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Back to 750 and ML

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Looking Short under 780.

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Something seems off, not looking good or may see wicked nasty drop. NAZ now at 21,749.

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Drop here or back up. Use a Stop.

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I have been watching this garbage for so long, my gut is my best indicator. The challenge is with the (W) when and not the why (W). WHEN will the NAZ hit the fan. Thinking it is near, O/N and Dead Zone lifts (only) are not sustainable.

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Near The Close and NAZ did stay inside O/N Rang, dropped hit ML and popped back up. The O/N tonight may prop further, this is just a process that will have to wait for the off session lifting to stop working. Then a massive Reg Session drop of 1,000 points or more.

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1/22 Update, Still same old O/N doing all the lifting, we will need to see the Reg Session Break Above any O/N high (and stay above). Yesterday's 628 Long was all you needed. The 2 way or short/pull backs are not working. Chart below, next moves. Look for rejection at 21,890 or Reg Session lift above. 22k is next and the 22,160. Rejection at any KL, use yellow arrow (express elevator) back down. The drops we are seeing are quick drop test. These drop quick (hold for now) and then snail lift back up in Dead Zone and then Overnight. The speed change makes it hard to get in a rhythm.

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4 HR View

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Slight divergence so air pocket drop may play out near O/R.

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Pump/Dump trade under 935

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10YN may head South, keep an eye on this.

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Play the 200 point O/N range until break out, H/M/L are KL's

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These moves stick out "Like a Turd in a Punchbowl" and that is probably not a good thing. Let's see if the Reg Session has any significant strength to the upside today.

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Open Drive is up, needs to stay above O/N high. When did NetFlix and Oracle POP, Afterhours. See the pattern.

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21,822 is drop target.

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Apple flat and Tesla is negative, MAG5? This will have an impact should they stay here. The NetFlix and other Tech may be offsetting the lift here.

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Ticks negative, just not following the lift here. 160 may be next should mystery pop continue.

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22,022 Short to 21,822 Stop at 22,175

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22,070 is a TLX and reversal zone. Staying with it and walking away for now.

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Hook short at 22,050 or pop. Needs to pass TLX or will be reversal.

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Apple, Tesla and 10YN are dropping.

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040 -070 is range, stay short under 070.

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Half of move from O/N and half from Reg Session. This is bullish and may see further move higher or O/N will be flat to lower tonight should NAZ drop back by EOD. Too much move for the Reg Session to develop, ratio is way off.

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4 HR view and NAZ may be developing next leg higher, if not it will drop back. May need some O/N magic (as usual).

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Next move, pick a color.

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MAG5 and the NAZ is still moving higher. I have joked about the MAG2, maybe it is not a Joke. This will end badly, when it actually happens. Until, BTD/FOMO and Go Fed / Washington Street.

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Back in O/R

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Balance of this week.

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1/23 Update, The play yesterday was a delayed pump/dump from the TLX hit and reversal. We are not seeing any gains stick that come in a Reg Session, that is not good. This could be viewed as manipulation if you want to get technical are are paying close attention. Next mov is either the yellow arrow or white, keep in mind we know how the Friday-Monday Long Rig play works.

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4 HR view, back in the Box Top

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IDS35, Circle to left is the O/N Rig move and we are back to that as the Reg Session and current O/N did not hold. This could be a drop offset and today will be the crucial Reg Session that if we get a selloff (usually), we may retest 21,720 very easily. If not, BTD/FOMO into the F-M Long Play to the new ATH.

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Just look for Push/Pull Price Action, best indicator. Just notice that we have not seen since the 1/6 -1/13 drop. Need to see NAZ struggling to get lower and then no struggle to get lower with speed and force or this is going back up.

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These narrow ranges tend to produce huge moves.

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21,960 will be short below and long above today. May see lift to and drop from or drop, hold retest at 960.

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910 is Hook Short or Pop.

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2nd move may be bigger play.

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NAZ on the Edge

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10YN is dropping and I think the Trump speech will not help the upside. Stay will short under 960. U Turn attempt may fail here, big drop to follow. Fact checking will drop all that was said to create move.

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Fed Black out week, but we have this. How long can they pull this off? Why does the reg session usually have little strength?

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Back under 960 drop or close the short. Dead Zone Magic next and may fail like O/N.

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960 drop or pop here the Noise has ended. Not getting political, just trying to show how the media is used to rig/prop the PA.

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Here comes the Fact Checking play.

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Just notice how the NAZ is at KL 960 at the same time as the Speech. This is the up retest mentioned before the Open. Next move will be big and U turn Friday-Monday, go or big bust.

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Deep Drop needs to break 22,890. 960-890 is range for now.

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Very narrow strange day, looking for drop eventually. Risk is F-M or O/N pump. Many times we will see just a quick drop as many are expecting the lift.

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You can see the slow sneaky move lower here. Notice the struggle to get lower and this will have to turn into No Struggle and express train lower or going back up into O/N Rig Play.

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Upper Danger Zone above TL Danger Zone 21,400. They just will not let the NAZ drop, all over if it does. Expect head fake long or rig play long should it not drop test here.

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Here we go with Dead Zone U Turn and into O/N F-M Long play, needs to pass TLX if it stays above 960.

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Wide NTZ and whipsaw, still in range (no real break either way). Hold the phone as the NAZ is still struggling. I did close Short, most likely a (Short) shake out, that is what they do.

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You can't make this stuff up. NAZ with run up in final 5 minutes. O/N Rig to F-M is most likely a Lock.

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1/24 Update, Not much in O/N Pump, give it time as we are 4 hours from Open. Anyway, NAZ can move 400 points in either direction today depending on who gets control (buyers or sellers). No F-M long move, look short. Push/Pull is present, look short. NAZ starting to fizzle so expect some tricks or odd moves to the upside 1st, 2nd and 3rd before it breaks lower.

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White arrow sticks out like a T in a Punchbowl, yellow is M play.

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Notice previous 2 white arrows and candles, price action after fades. TLX and under is short and above is most likely Long F-M play. May see rotation around TLX forever as the markets have zero conviction. Anyway, big move is on the way, nobody knows the direction.

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Short under TLX, counter Friday Pump

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TLX Hit and rejection.

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under 22,040 should drop.

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Looking for 1 way lower Choo Choo Train

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Range

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Needs to break O/N Low.

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broke but not going, may be shake out, lift and drop or back up.

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NAZ is barley moving, not sure how to trade a Rigged Snail, will place stop at TLX/Entry and walk away. Going back to delivering Pizza. Washington Street is in control.

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Looks like they are mopping up the top and then the drop, usually the move or back to the moon in the off session O/N weekend Rig Show.

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Double Cheese Pizza may happen under 21,900 (Strong Short)

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Pizza deliveries by Choo Choo Express? Strange things are brewing. KL 628 looks good as a Topping. Just a thought and any drop may be bought so fast that it won't matter.

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Area below needs to get a hit or drop test before next move higher. Pizza Oven is heating up. This is like being in a Dentist's waiting room.

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This one is so strange, not sure it is going back up. Keep stop at TLX or lower it if you really want to.

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I am hanging on and not getting shaken off. Thing is that there is zero strength with any move, up or down.

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Leaving now, for real. Would not be surprised if we see a 100-200 point pop up in final 2 minutes of the close. Stop at TLX.

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Katherine Doherty at Bloomberg just had an interview regarding off exchange trading, 1st time ever it hit above 50% of volume. This and Futures may be why the O/N off session PA has been more dominant than the Reg Session. Anyway, NAZ Hit Zone and now stop at 21,920. BTD/FOMO and O/N rally is foaming at the mouth.

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M for Meat lovers pizza now or back up in the O/N Rig Show.

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FYI, arrows to the left are buying wicks and right are selling. Current move up here would be a head fake or just fake.

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Closed at 21,900, O/N will rig this one for Monday 2nd half.

MAZing

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