The NZDJPY has been making textbook moves for the past 5 or so months and nows the perfect time to see some changes. We had a wedge pattern forming, as well as a bat pattern within the wedge as a little reassurance to buy. Following the leg formed by the bat pattern, we turned around at the .618 giving us a very nice 2618 formation. Going on, theres now a couple of scenarios we could have here;
1. Long position continuing on with wedge pattern. - Look for a reversal around the NZDJPY 75.80 area. - Stop loss - just make sure you don't get a lower low lower close candle. If you do then close the trade and take the loss. - Take profit @ 78.04. Would recommend either trailing your stops as price goes up, or closing half your position @ 77.07
The other alternative;
2. Short position due to breakout. In this case; -When price gets to that 75.8 area, look for a lower low lower close candle (L3C). The magnified areas in the photo explain this. - You must wait for the close. Use the Daily chart to find the L3C candle. - Confirm the close on the weekly. There may be a retest of structure following the L3C so beware of a slight retracement.
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