The NZD/JPY pair has fallen by 920 pips over the past 15 days. Such a significant and sustained decline is unlikely to continue indefinitely without a corrective pullback. Currently, the price has halted its downward momentum and is beginning to reverse near my key area of interest.
Key Confluences:
The pair is rebounding off a descending trend line that has been in place since November 2023. It is also bouncing off an ascending trend line that has been in place since August 2023. The price is reacting to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. It is rejecting the significant psychological level of 90.000. Market Structure The JPY basket has reached a resistance level and is starting to decline. These factors suggest a potential reversal or correction in the NZD/JPY pair.
NZD/JPY 4hr TF Has currently closed on the 4 hour TF nicely I expect NZD/JPY to start having an healthy pull back.
JPY Basket weekly TF Is currently reacting off my area of interest I expect price to start moving lower.
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