Trade details for QQQ:
159/149 Put Vertical Debit Spread @ $2.97
Prob. of Max Profit = 18.00%
Prob. of Max Loss = 43.96%
Break-even @ $156.03
52 D.T.E.
Trade plan:
QQQ identified to be overbought + sign of weakness compared to recent rally.
SPY & QQQ are highly correlating, with QQQ as more volatile mover (suitable for debit spread).
Feb. expiration has sufficient premium for credit spread + room for adjustment during trade if needed
Built credit spread in SPY + Built debit spread in QQQ
For QQQ debit spread:
Expecting QQQ to breach $152 level by expiration.
Expecting to possible adjust with naked put or put vertical spread if market rallies strongly to breach & stay above $160 level.
Max risk reduced by 12% from SPY side of trade with market rally.
Unlikely max profit of $703 if market plunges to $149 level.
Check SPY side of pairs trade for more information.