GarryBartsch

Monthly S&P 500 Flirting with Significant Fibonacci Extension

FX:SPX500   مؤشر ستاندرد آند بورز 500
My last idea was that the stock market might burst up from a descending channel and move up decently. It did. Now I'm starting to grow wary: earlier than I hoped. I think what it's doing now - advancing bit by bit without a pullback - is convincing people who missed the bottom that it's safe to buy now. I don't think so it's so safe now. 2045 was safe.

My biggest concern is after quite a lot of years in a bull market - and one long sustained run since late 2011 - the S&P 500 is having trouble at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level: The ES1! contract shows during the last eight months volume was much heavier on the sell months than the buy months:
I suspect the market is undergoing distribution. I don't know what could spur this market for much longer. I'm pessimistic now.
إخلاء المسؤولية

لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.