SPY S&P 500 September is historically the worst month for stocks

٥ سبتمبر ٢٠٢٢

Two months have delivered an average negative return for stocks since 1945: February and September, the latter being the worst.

Economic context:
Russia will not restart gas supplies to Europe through a key pipeline until western sanctions are lifted.
OPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day.
August 2022 CPI data are scheduled to be released on September 13, 2022.
Fed’s next scheduled monetary policy meeting takes place on September 20-21. Depending on how inflation is trending and how the jobs markets and overall economy is looking we expect a Fed Rate Decisions of 50bps or 75bps hike.

The crypto market context is not good either. Ethereum network’s security and performance could be negatively impacted by the upcoming Merge.

Taking into consideration the information above, my price target for the SPY ETF is $374.

Looking forward to read your opinion about it.