It appears the spy has found a landing zone, and may now be in the accumulation phase, Using the Wyckoff Accumulation method, I analyzed what may occur over the next few trading weeks. In the short term I believe SPY is bullish and looking to retrace to the .618 Fib resistance ($390) within a few days and eventually retracing the .786 fib ($400). After that Based on the wyckoff method, it may breakdown, given the marco-economics of the entire market being bearish , with alot of fear and uncertainty amid a recession on the horizon (if were not already), and the feds hawkish aim to control inflation , we may have a sell off that could lead below previous lows, as highlighted in the chart.
Strategy 1: buy $400 calls expiration 8-19-22 Sell: First Target price $390 followed by $400
Startegy 2: If SPY reaches $400, Buy PUT 21 days from expiration ideally strike of $390
Alternatively SPY could break over $400 and continue to rally and possibly reverse to the upside despite macro conditions.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor, I do not advise anyone to buy or sell anything, these are just my own ideas for my own use, trade at your own risk.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.