TLT Roadmap Dec 2023
تم تحديثه
Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024
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Good startملاحظة
Early stageملاحظة
More pulling back aheadملاحظة
Should start turning upملاحظة
Very good price action following the expected pathملاحظة
I made a mistake with the instrument here, instead of TLT should have used IEF as 10 yr yields will fall faster than 30 yr yieldsملاحظة
It is highly likely that this upswing starting Oct 2023 extends into Oct 2025. Obviously no straight line but some correction starting Aug into Oct 2024ملاحظة
Entertaining to say the leastملاحظة
Market participants are fully imposing the Trump trade across asset markets. This most likely will form a triangle (currently D wave forming to the downside) before new highs in yields/lows in bondsملاحظة
Bonds setting initial low on that decline likely this weekملاحظة
JP was a bit hesitant yesterday which is incrementally hawkish (as was Logan). I was very confident that this will happen once DJT wins. More cuts will further destabilize yieldsملاحظة
Probably quick rally this week
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