Hello!
Where is Tesla's stock price headed??
I apologize for the crowdedness of the chart but "bear" with me... or bull with me.
After a bounce off the lower trend line and a follow up 10%+ day we saw TSLA take a breather, with the overall market for most of the day. As the indices pushed higher into the close TSLA started to take off then met some resistance or just a lack of buying. On my trading day chart I have an advance/decline indicator that was showing a 2.5. So I am going to go with the latter. I think big money was saving some ammo for the big names that reported earnings after the bell today. AMZN, GOOGL, AMD, PYPL. We still closed above *my* resistance trend line. If you zoom in (15 min chart) and draw your own, I think you will find that line is pretty accurate.
The candlestick pattern can be seen in 2 of the previous up trends which were both followed up by larger moves to the upside. Although the volume of first duo was much larger I think that was due to earnings?
4 points why I think we see a 61.8 retracement of the Jan 2 highs around the end of Feb.
1. This would put us around 1050-1060 which is our POC.
2. This would create point two for the resistance of a symmetrical downtrend.
3. This would complete a bearish shark harmonic.
4.This would also be right before March Fed rate hike. Leaving us plenty of room to the downside as the market could turnover around then.
Bonus: If you want to practice harmonic patterns. You can draw a pretty good three drive pattern. You have to have some understanding of why it isn't perfect though. If you draw a top trend line from the Nov 2ish high to through the December 20th-ish high you can see that may have been the GP from the market makers before the production report came out right before the new year. IMO that created a conflicting plan that pulled the price a little higher 1/12. Without that the three drive would be almost textbook also supporting this upward trend although the target would be 1180ish, given the logic the pt B was supposed to be 12/27ish.
Always write down your trading plan and stick to it.
Thanks for stopping by, may your accounts be ever increasing and your dreams be fulfilled.