Factors
1. Price has experienced a LT downtrend (Starting May 19)
2. Price slowly building a base with recent price action respecting that lower and upper trendline.
3. EMA is converging
4. There is an overhead gap at $1.45 which I would be looking to target.
Possible Reasons For Failure
1. No bullish price action/candlestick pattern to initiate trade
2. Prices may continue to downtrend
3. Base may breakdown
4. Target might be too optimistic
Watchlist and keep an eye on.